战术导弹对机场跑道多波次打击时的瞄准点选择方法

为了解决使用战术导弹对机场跑道实施多波次打击时的瞄准点选择问题,在考虑具有先前毁伤效果的累积效应基础上,按照优先打击最小起降窗口、使最小维修窗口中维修工作量最大的思路,设计了一种瞄准点选择方法,可为相应的导弹作战运用提供参考。所附算例说明了文中方法的可行性。     

基于脉冲控制的末修弹飞行稳定性研究

脉冲力的瞬间作用会引起攻角和侧滑角的急剧变化,对末修弹飞行稳定性产生较大的影响.以线性化运动微分方程组为数学解析手段,对末修弹脉冲作用稳定性进行深入分析研究.数值仿真表明,采用小扰动法分析弹丸脉冲控制弹丸飞行稳定性是可行的.     

基于改进IMM-UKF的弹道导弹再入段跟踪数据滤波?

针对弹道系数未知的弹道导弹再入段跟踪雷达测量数据滤波这类非线性强的滤波问题,提出可变多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波算法。利用无迹卡尔曼滤波逼近精度高,计算量小,适应于任意非线性模型的特点,将其作为多模型的基本滤波器;滤波算法根据各模型正确描述目标状态的概率,动态地改变多模型数量和模型参数。上述方法的综合运用,提高对目标状态估计精度,降低了计算的复杂度,仿真实验验证了方法的有效性。     

增强小波系数的飞行数据奇异值阈值降噪

针对飞行数据降噪问题,提出了增强小波系数的飞行数据奇异值阈值降噪算法.结合小波系数噪声自相关函数进行飞行数据的最佳分解层小波分解,对高频小波系数先进行增强预处理再进行SVD分解,运用奇异熵理论确定奇异值重构阶次,采用奇异值阈值对小波系数进行处理并重构,得到降噪数据.仿真实验表明,本文算法能获得较高的信噪比,改善了数据质量.     

ADVANCED US CONVENTIONAL WEAPONS AND NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT

The Obama administration has made a great effort to increase the role of advanced conventional weaponry in US national security thinking and practice, in part to help reinvigorate the global nuclear disarmament agenda by reducing the role played by nuclear weapons in the US defense posture. However, such a strategy is fundamentally flawed because increases in US conventional superiority will exacerbate US relative strength vis-à-vis other powers, and therefore make the prospect of a nuclear weapon-free world seem less attractive to Washington's current and potential nuclear rivals. Consequently, it is highly likely that the impact of efforts to increase US advanced conventional superiority through ballistic missile defense and a conventional “prompt global strike” program will ensure that the Obama administration is adopting a pathway to nuclear abolition on which it is the sole traveler for the foreseeable future.     

UNDER THE RADAR?

Missile Contagion: Cruise Missile Proliferation and the Threat to International Security, by Dennis M. Gormley. Praeger Security International, 2008. 272 pages, $54.95.     

地球外部空间扰动引力并行计算

针对传统的司托克斯积分方法计算量大、模型复杂的缺点,通过将地球球面以适当的经纬度差进行划分及合理简化,实现了司托克斯积分法计算外部空间扰动引力的积分方程的离散化,建立了地球扰动引力的快速计算模型,并在快速计算模型的基础上采用并行计算技术,实现扰动引力的实时计算。仿真结果表明,提出的快速并行计算模型能较好地实现地球扰动引力的快速、高精度计算。     

台风浪过程对空中飞行器生存能力的影响分析

为了分析台风浪对飞行器生存能力的影响,以CCMP风场驱动WW3海浪模式,对发生在2008年9月的台风"黑格比"所致的台风浪进行数值模拟,并就台风浪对导弹等飞行器击水概率的影响进行计算分析。研究发现:以CCMP风场作为WW3模式的驱动场,对发生在中国海的台风浪进行数值模拟是可行的,模拟的海浪数据接近海浪浮标观测数据;击水概率大值区主要分布于台风的大浪区,当飞行器的飞行高度为12m时,击水概率基本在15%以上,近台风中心更是高达26%～30%,台风大浪区的外围的击水概率则基本都在10%以下;当导弹飞行高度为15m时,击水概率基本只有12m时的一半;无论飞行高度为12m还是15m,击水概率的大值区均集中分布于该台风行进方向的右半圆。击水概率的高值中心并不位于台风中心,这应该是由于台风中心存在一低风速的台风眼造成的。该研究为提高掠海飞行器的生存能力提供参考。     

弹道目标跟踪滤波方法研究

主要对弹道目标的跟踪滤波方法进行了综述,对扩展卡尔曼滤波(extended Kalman filter,EKF)、转换测量卡尔曼滤波(conversion measurement Kalman filter,CMKF)、基于弹道运动方程的扩展卡尔曼滤波(ballistic extended Kalman filter,...     

Minimum deterrence and missile defenses: what's new,what's true,what's arguable

Minimum deterrence is a compromise, or halfway house, between nuclear abolition or nearly zero and assured destruction, the dominant paradigm for strategic nuclear arms control during and after the cold war. Minimum deterrence as applied to the current relationship between the United States and Russia would require downsizing the numbers of operationally deployed long-range nuclear weapons to 1000, or fewer, on each side. More drastic bilateral Russian–American reductions would require the cooperation of other nuclear weapons states in making proportional reductions in their own arsenals. In addition, US plans for European-based and global missile defenses cause considerable angst in Russia and threaten to derail the Obama “reset” in Russian–American relations, despite the uncertainties about current and plausible future performances of missile defense technologies.